# of views of MrBeast video day 2?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast's latest YouTube upload will accumulate views across its first 48 hours post-publication. The resolution brackets measure total view count within that window, with exact midpoints rounding to the higher bracket. YouTube's view counter updates in real time, though occasional delays of several hours occur during periods of exceptionally high traffic.

MrBeast's recent video performance establishes the baseline for comparison. His uploads consistently exceed 50 million views within 24 hours; several recent releases have surpassed 100 million views in the same period. The 0% probability assigned to this market suggests traders expect the video to fall below the lowest bracket threshold, an outcome inconsistent with the creator's established viewership patterns across his channel's 200+ million subscribers. Historical performance indicates even underperforming uploads from this creator typically accumulate 40–80 million views within 48 hours, depending on content category and release timing.

Traders should monitor the upload timestamp, as the settlement window closes 16 June 2026 at 03:59 UTC regardless of whether brackets resolve earlier. Content type matters substantially—collaboration videos and challenge formats historically outperform educational or slower-paced content. Seasonal factors, competing releases from other major creators, and platform algorithm changes all influence velocity. The current pricing reflects either an expectation of significant channel decline or a technical misunderstanding of MrBeast's typical performance metrics.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?

Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.