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# of views of MrBeast video day 6?

How the prediction-market book is pricing "# of views of MrBeast video day 6?" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $182K Closes: 22 May 2026
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Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
PolyGram Pick
polygram.ink
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on PolyGram →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on PolyGram →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on PolyGram →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on PolyGram →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on PolyGram →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.

Active sub-markets

<61M0% YES100% NO
61–62M0% YES100% NO
62–63M0% YES100% NO
63–64M100% YES0% NO
64–65M0% YES100% NO
65–66M0% YES100% NO

Market context

MrBeast’s latest upload is being scored on total views in the first 144 hours, so the relevant question is not whether it opened strongly, but where it sits once the full six-day window closes. Comparable MrBeast videos have often landed in the tens of millions within that period, with market references on Lines showing a day-one bracket around 30–35 million for a similar upload and earlier coverage from vidIQ putting his channel’s scale at more than 176 million subscribers and 25 billion cumulative views. That backdrop helps explain why the crowd has already pushed the “yes” side to 0% in this market: once early traction is strong enough, late-window decay is usually the only real risk to the top bracket.

The main catalysts are simple: posting cadence, thumbnail or title changes, and any cross-platform promotion that extends attention beyond the first 24 hours. MrBeast’s own upload pattern matters because his videos are typically front-loaded, then settle into a slower long tail; a change in the release schedule or an unusually large push from Shorts, TikTok or X can add meaningful incremental views inside the 144-hour window. In broader YouTube commentary, creators and analysts have argued that attention is more dispersed than before, but MrBeast’s scale still makes him an outlier when a video starts well. Traders should watch the public view counter on the channel page and any re-edit or re-promote signals, since those are the variables most likely to move the final bracket.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track # of views of MrBeast video day 6? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

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