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2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory

Live odds for "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $195K Liquidity: $133K Closes: 3 Jun 2026
Trade on Sport Prediction →
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Sport Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
 0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Sport Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Sport Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Sport Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Sport Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Sport Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Chong Won-oh 6-9%0% YES100% NO
Chong Won-oh <3%0% YES100% NO
Oh Se-hoon 3-6%0% YES100% NO
Other0% YES100% NO
Chong Won-oh 9%+0% YES100% NO
Chong Won-oh 3-6%0% YES100% NO

Market context

Market consensus: 0% chance of 2026 seoul mayoral election: margin of victory. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between t…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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