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Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

How the sports market is pricing "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Gadi Eizenkot 39% Benjamin Netanyahu 36% Naftali Bennett 13% Avigdor Lieberman 4% Volume: $25.7M Liquidity: $1.9M Closes: 31 Dec 2026
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Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
39% 61% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
39% 61% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Gadi Eizenkot39%
Benjamin Netanyahu36%
Naftali Bennett13%
Avigdor Lieberman4%
Yair Lapid1%
Itamar Ben Gvir1%
Gideon Sa’ar1%
Yoaz Hendel1%
Benny Gantz0%
Yossi Cohen0%
Yair Golan0%
Yariv Levin0%
Moshe Feiglin0%
Ayelet Shaked0%
Israel Katz0%
Nir Barkat0%
Amir Ohana0%
Gilad Erdan0%
Person G0%
Person H0%
Person I0%
Person J0%
Person K0%
Person L0%
Person M0%
Person N0%
Person O0%
Other0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 39% probability to who will be the next prime minister of israel after the next election?. Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel foll…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

Israel Prediction Markets