Solana price on May 23?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

This market resolves on the Binance SOL/USDT pair's closing price at noon Eastern Time on 23 May 2026, using the 1-minute candle data. The settlement window extends nearly two years into the future, making this a long-dated volatility bet on Solana's spot price at a specific moment rather than a directional wager on sustained price movement.

Historical precedent suggests that pinpoint intraday price predictions at fixed timestamps carry inherent noise, particularly for cryptocurrency pairs where liquidity and order flow vary substantially across trading sessions. Solana's volatility profile has historically ranged between 60–120% annualised, meaning single-day swings of 3–5% are routine. The 0% crowd probability likely reflects the difficulty of forecasting a precise noon ET close nearly two years forward, where macro conditions, regulatory shifts, and network developments remain unknowable. Comparable long-dated crypto price brackets typically see minimal trading activity until the final weeks before settlement.

Traders monitoring this market should track Solana's network health metrics, validator participation rates, and any major protocol upgrades scheduled before May 2026. Regulatory announcements regarding spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have historically influenced altcoin sentiment; similar developments could reshape Solana's risk premium. Binance's operational status and any changes to SOL/USDT trading pairs would directly affect settlement mechanics. The specific noon ET timestamp introduces microstructure risk—US equity market open coincides with this window, potentially affecting cryptocurrency trading patterns through cross-asset flows.

Methodology

We track Solana price on May 23? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.