PGA Tour: THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson Winner

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The 2026 CJ Cup Byron Nelson will take place at TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas, as part of the PGA Tour's regular season schedule. The tournament typically attracts a competitive field of established tour members and rising talent, with historical winners including Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth, and Tony Finau. The event's timing in the tour calendar and moderate field strength mean that form entering the week and course-specific preparation carry substantial weight in determining the eventual champion.

Historical resolution patterns suggest that the 25% implied probability reflects a mid-tier contender—neither a dominant favourite nor an outsider. Past CJ Cup Byron Nelson winners have predominantly ranked within the top 50 in world rankings at the time of victory, with several emerging from the 15–40 range. Comparable PGA Tour events of similar prestige have seen favourites priced between 8–15% convert at roughly 20–30% of the time, indicating that markets tend to slightly underweight the chances of secondary contenders in this category.

Traders should monitor field announcements as the tournament approaches, particularly any late withdrawals or injuries affecting listed players. Recent PGA Tour scheduling changes and the integration of LIV Golf players into the regular season will influence field composition heading into 2026. Course conditions at TPC Craig Ranch—notably rough depth and green firmness in May—historically favour players with strong iron play and short-game precision, making recent performance on similar layouts a relevant indicator of form.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.