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PGA Tour: The Open Championship Winner

How the sports market is pricing "PGA Tour: The Open Championship Winner" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Scottie Scheffler 11% Rory McIlroy 10% Tommy Fleetwood 6% Matt Fitzpatrick 5% Volume: $96K Liquidity: $2.7M Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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PGA Tour: The Open Championship Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 11% 89% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 11% 89% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Scottie Scheffler11%
Rory McIlroy10%
Tommy Fleetwood6%
Matt Fitzpatrick5%
Jon Rahm4%
Xander Schauffele3%
Viktor Hovland3%
Robert MacIntyre3%
Collin Morikawa2%
Chris Gotterup2%
Justin Rose2%
Wyndham Clark2%
Tyrrell Hatton2%
Cameron Young2%
Si Woo Kim2%
Sam Burns2%
Russell Henley2%
Min Woo Lee2%
Joaquin Niemann1%
Tom Kim1%
Patrick Reed1%
Shane Lowry1%
Bryson DeChambeau1%
Brooks Koepka1%
Justin Thomas1%
Aaron Rai1%
J.J. Spaun1%
Alex Fitzpatrick1%
Jordan Spieth1%
Patrick Cantlay1%
Hideki Matsuyama1%
Harris English1%
Kurt Kitayama1%
Ben Griffin1%
Maverick McNealy1%
Akshay Bhatia1%
Rickie Fowler1%
Kristoffer Reitan1%
Alexander Noren1%
Hao-Tong Li1%
Adam Scott0%
Cameron Smith0%
Corey Conners0%
Brian Harman0%
Victor Perez0%
Michael Thorbjornsen0%
Jordan L. Smith0%
David Puig0%
Max Homa0%
Ryan Gerard0%
Angel Ayora0%
Johnny Keefer0%
Jason Day0%
Sepp Straka0%
Ryan Fox0%
Jacob Bridgeman0%
Keegan Bradley0%
Matt Wallace0%
Tom McKibbin0%
Ryo Hisatsune0%
Jake Knapp0%
Eric Cole0%
JT Poston0%
Marco Penge0%
Bud Cauley0%
Gary Woodland0%
Keita Nakajima0%
Keith Mitchell0%
Sahith Theegala0%
Thomas Detry0%
Alex Smalley0%
Harry Hall0%
Daniel Berger0%
Max Greyserman0%
Jayden Schaper0%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen0%
Michael Kim0%
Lucas Herbert0%
Matt McCarty0%
Nick Taylor0%
Hendrik Du Plessis0%
Sung-Jae Im0%
Andrew Novak0%
Casey Jarvis0%
Pierceson Coody0%
Billy Horschel0%
Daniel Hillier0%
Michael Brennan0%
Jackson Suber0%
Jesper Svensson0%
Bernd Wiesberger0%
Laurie Canter0%
Francesco Molinari0%
Scott Vincent0%
Sami Valimaki0%
Louis Oosthuizen0%
Matthew Jordan0%
John Parry0%
Sam Stevens0%
Daniel Brown0%
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Other0%

Market context

Market consensus: 11% chance of pga tour: the open championship winner. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 The Open Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the The Open Champ…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for PGA Tour: The Open Championship Winner. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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