Plovdiv: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Maxim Mrva

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Tommaso Compagnucci’s match in Plovdiv is a low-margin Challenger-level contest, with the Italian sitting around the ATP top 400 and a career-high in the mid-360s, which is broadly consistent with a player who can compete at this level but is rarely priced as a dominant favourite.[2][8] Public results trackers show his recent activity has been concentrated on the ITF/Challenger circuit, including a three-set loss to Juan Cruz Martin Manzano in Parma and a win over Li Tu in mid-June, a profile that suggests enough volatility for upsets even against lower-ranked opposition.[4][7] With the market already implying a 100% chance of a Compagnucci advance, the price leaves almost no room for uncertainty in a match where form can swing quickly from one day to the next.[1][2]

For traders, the main catalysts are whether the match actually starts on schedule, whether either player withdraws before first serve, and whether the event’s draw is reshuffled by late scheduling changes or walkovers. At this level, official withdrawals and last-minute medical time-outs matter more than long-run ranking differences, because many results are decided by fitness, travel load and surface-specific form rather than by stable head-to-head history. The settlement terms also mean a no-contest, tie or delay beyond seven days would flip the outcome to 50-50, so the key watchpoint is not just who is stronger on paper, but whether the Plovdiv tie is completed inside the window without administrative interruption.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Plovdiv: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Maxim Mrva across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?

Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.