National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet

Platform comparison

Market context

Rafael Jodar and Corentin Moutet meet in Montreal with no previous head-to-head, which makes the market rely more on current level than any direct matchup history. The ranking gap is sizeable, with Jodar listed around ATP No. 15 and Moutet around No. 59 in the available live tournament feeds, while season snapshots point to Jodar carrying the stronger win-loss record this year and on hard courts specifically.[11][4][2]

That helps explain why a 73% crowd-implied chance for Jodar is not extreme, even though Moutet brings more tour experience and a longer ATP track record. Comparable cases in early-round ATP matches often settle on the player with the cleaner recent form when there is no prior meeting, but that edge can narrow quickly if the more experienced player has already found rhythm in the event or if the favourite has had a stop-start run.[2][3]

The main catalysts to watch are confirmation that the match is played as scheduled, any late withdrawal or medical update, and whether either player has been carrying a workload issue through the tournament. The listed start time has been circulating in live score and match pages, but with the settlement window running through 13 August, the market can still be affected by a delay, retirement, or rescheduling beyond the seven-day threshold, which would push resolution to 50-50 under the rules.[6][10][18]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.