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Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti

How the sports market is pricing "Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.5 57% Volume: $502K Liquidity: $96K Closes: 28 Oct 2026
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Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.557%
Completed Match51%
Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 22.550%
Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti Game Spread +/-3.550%
Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti Total Sets: O/U 2.545%
Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 23.528%
Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.58%
Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 Winner4%
Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti1%
Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 Winner0%
Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

The Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Moise Kouame and Lorenzo Musetti in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moise Kouame' if…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Lyon Open: Moise Kouame vs Lorenzo Musetti. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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