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Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto

How the sports market is pricing "Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto Set 1 Winner 100% Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto 54% Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto Set Handicap +/-1.5 50% Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto Set Handicap +/-1.5 50% Volume: $163K Liquidity: $16K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto Set 1 Winner100%
Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto54%
Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto Match O/U 21.550%
Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto Match O/U 22.550%
Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto Match O/U 23.550%
Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto Set 2 Winner50%
Completed Match50%
Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to quito: mwendwa mbithi vs matias soto. This market refers to the tennis match between Mwendwa Mbithi and Matias Soto in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mwendwa Mbithi' if Mwend…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Soto. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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