Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs David Jorda Sanchis

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Andrej Nedic and David Jorda Sanchis are scheduled to meet in Istanbul on 23 May 2026 in what appears to be a lower-tier professional tennis fixture. The 0% crowd probability suggests minimal trading activity or confidence in either player's likelihood of advancing, typical for matches involving players outside the ATP top 100. Settlement depends on a completed match result by 30 May; cancellation, postponement beyond seven days, or an unfinished contest triggers a 50-50 resolution.

Historical precedent for such low-probability markets reflects genuine uncertainty around player availability and match execution rather than predictive consensus. Matches at this level frequently experience late withdrawals due to injury, scheduling conflicts, or tournament restructuring. The extended settlement window—seven days past the scheduled date—accommodates common delays in lower-tier professional tennis, where fixture rescheduling occurs regularly without formal announcement through major news outlets.

Traders should monitor Turkish tennis federation announcements and the ATP Challenger circuit schedule for confirmation of the Istanbul event itself, as smaller tournaments occasionally relocate or consolidate. Recent form data for both players, accessible through ATP databases and Challenger-level results, will clarify seeding and recent match outcomes. Any injury reports or late withdrawals typically surface 48–72 hours before scheduled play. The absence of mainstream sports coverage for this pairing means reliance on specialist tennis databases and federation communications rather than traditional sports journalism.

Methodology

This page reviews Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs David Jorda Sanchis across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.