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Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo

How the sports market is pricing "Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 80% Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo 66% Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.5 66% Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 10.5 66% Volume: $210K Liquidity: $387K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.580%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo66%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.566%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 10.566%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner61%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 9.558%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 22.555%
Completed Match50%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 23.547%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.545%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 2.543%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.541%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 9.536%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner35%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 10.533%

Market context

Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo — current market-implied probability: 80%. This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Alejandro Tabilo in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev'…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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