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Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Sports snapshot for "Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 21.5 51% Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante 50% Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 Winner 50% Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $422K Liquidity: $557K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 21.551%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante50%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 Winner50%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 8.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 Winner50%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 22.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 23.550%
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Completed Match4%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, swedish open: alejandro tabilo vs thiago agustin tirante stands at 51% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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