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Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini

"Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 1 Winner 100% Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 2 O/U 10.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 3 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 3 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $526K Liquidity: $238K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 1 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 3 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 3 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 38.599%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 36.587%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 40.575%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Total Sets: O/U 3.575%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set Handicap +/-1.570%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Total Sets: O/U 4.530%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini16%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set Handicap +/-2.55%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 2 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini Set 3 Winner0%

Market context

The Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Stan Wawrinka and Matteo Berrettini in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stan Wawrink…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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