Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 28.5 | 94% |
| O/U 30.5 | 91% |
| O/U 32.5 | 88% |
| O/U 34.5 | 84% |
| O/U 36.5 | 81% |
| O/U 38.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 77% |
| Army O/U 19.5 | 77% |
| Temple O/U 16.5 | 72% |
| O/U 40.5 | 71% |
| O/U 42.5 | 67% |
| Army vs. Temple | 64% |
| Spread -0.5 | 64% |
| Temple O/U 19.5 | 63% |
| Spread -1.5 | 62% |
| O/U 44.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 62% |
| 1H Moneyline | 62% |
| Spread -2.5 | 60% |
| O/U 46.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 54% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Army O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| Army O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| Army O/U 31.5 | 51% |
| Temple O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| Temple O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| Army 1H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Army 1H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Army 1H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Temple 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Temple 1H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Army 2H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Army 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Army 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Temple 2H O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Temple 2H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 51% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 51% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 51% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 51% |
| Army vs. Temple: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Army vs. Temple: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Army vs. Temple: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 51% |
| Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 51% |
| Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 51% |
| Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 51% |
| Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 51% |
| Army 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Army 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 51% |
| Army Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Temple 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Army Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Army Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Temple Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Temple Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Army Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Army vs. Temple: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Army vs. Temple: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Army vs. Temple: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Temple O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Temple 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Temple Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Army Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Army Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Army Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Temple 2H O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| Spread -5.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| Temple 1H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| Spread -6.5 | 44% |
| O/U 50.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 40% |
| O/U 52.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 37% |
| Spread -0.5 | 36% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 36% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| Spread -8.5 | 35% |
| O/U 54.5 | 35% |
| Temple O/U 28.5 | 35% |
| Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| Spread -9.5 | 32% |
| Spread -10.5 | 30% |
| O/U 56.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 30% |
| Spread -11.5 | 28% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 28% |
| Spread -12.5 | 27% |
| Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| O/U 58.5 | 25% |
| Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| O/U 60.5 | 22% |
| Spread -14.5 | 21% |
| O/U 62.5 | 19% |
| Spread -17.5 | 18% |
| Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| Spread -18.5 | 14% |
| O/U 64.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| O/U 66.5 | 12% |
| Spread -12.5 | 11% |
| Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| O/U 68.5 | 9% |
| Spread -24.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 94% YES probability for Army vs. Temple. In the upcoming college football game between Army and Temple, scheduled for September 25 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Army" if Army win the game. This market will resolve to "Temple" if…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $172K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Army vs. Temple. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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