Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| O/U 61.5 | 100% |
| O/U 63.5 | 100% |
| O/U 65.5 | 100% |
| O/U 67.5 | 100% |
| O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| O/U 71.5 | 100% |
| O/U 73.5 | 100% |
| O/U 75.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 90% |
| 1H Moneyline | 90% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 67% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 66% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 66% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 63% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 62% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 11.5 | 53% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 15.5 | 53% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 53% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 53% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 53% |
| Cincinnati O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| West Virginia O/U 4.5 | 53% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 2H Moneyline | 48% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 48% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Spread -8.5 | 1% |
| Spread -0.5 | 1% |
| Spread -8.5 | 1% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to cincinnati vs. west virginia. In the upcoming college football game between Cincinnati and West Virginia, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati" if Cincinnati win the game. This market wil…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $275K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Cincinnati vs. West Virginia. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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