Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| James Madison O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| James Madison O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| James Madison 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| James Madison 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 94% |
| O/U 53.5 | 94% |
| Spread -3.5 | 93% |
| O/U 49.5 | 93% |
| O/U 51.5 | 93% |
| O/U 55.5 | 93% |
| Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| Spread -2.5 | 90% |
| Spread -6.5 | 90% |
| Spread -0.5 | 89% |
| Spread -4.5 | 89% |
| O/U 57.5 | 89% |
| Spread -10.5 | 84% |
| O/U 61.5 | 84% |
| Spread -13.5 | 83% |
| Spread -7.5 | 82% |
| Spread -12.5 | 82% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 81% |
| O/U 59.5 | 80% |
| O/U 67.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 80% |
| O/U 63.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 76% |
| Spread -14.5 | 75% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 75% |
| Spread -8.5 | 74% |
| O/U 65.5 | 73% |
| Spread -16.5 | 70% |
| Spread -17.5 | 68% |
| Spread -20.5 | 67% |
| O/U 73.5 | 61% |
| O/U 69.5 | 60% |
| O/U 71.5 | 57% |
| Georgia State O/U 23.5 | 55% |
| O/U 39.5 | 53% |
| O/U 41.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 53% |
| James Madison O/U 29.5 | 53% |
| James Madison O/U 32.5 | 53% |
| James Madison 1H O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| Georgia State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Georgia State vs. James Madison: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Georgia State vs. James Madison: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State vs. James Madison: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| James Madison 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| James Madison Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State vs. James Madison: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State vs. James Madison: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State vs. James Madison: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Georgia State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| James Madison O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| Georgia State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 49% |
| James Madison Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| O/U 75.5 | 46% |
| Spread -1.5 | 9% |
| Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| Spread -5.5 | 6% |
| Spread -6.5 | 5% |
| Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| Spread -4.5 | 4% |
| Spread -3.5 | 4% |
| Spread -2.5 | 3% |
| Georgia State vs. James Madison | 2% |
| Spread -13.5 | 2% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Georgia State vs. James Madison. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 2% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-17T16:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $276K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Georgia State vs. James Madison. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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