Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 25.5 | 92% |
| O/U 27.5 | 91% |
| O/U 31.5 | 87% |
| O/U 29.5 | 86% |
| O/U 33.5 | 83% |
| O/U 35.5 | 73% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 73% |
| O/U 37.5 | 67% |
| O/U 39.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 61% |
| Hawai'i vs. Wyoming | 57% |
| Spread -0.5 | 57% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| O/U 41.5 | 56% |
| 1H Moneyline | 56% |
| Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| O/U 43.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Hawai'i vs. Wyoming: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Hawai'i vs. Wyoming: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i vs. Wyoming: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i vs. Wyoming: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i vs. Wyoming: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i vs. Wyoming: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 45% |
| Wyoming O/U 21.5 | 45% |
| O/U 45.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 44% |
| Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| Hawai'i O/U 24.5 | 43% |
| Spread -5.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 40% |
| Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| O/U 47.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| O/U 49.5 | 34% |
| Hawai'i O/U 27.5 | 34% |
| Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| O/U 51.5 | 32% |
| Spread -8.5 | 31% |
| Spread -9.5 | 29% |
| Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| O/U 53.5 | 26% |
| Hawai'i O/U 30.5 | 26% |
| Wyoming O/U 27.5 | 25% |
| Spread -11.5 | 24% |
| Spread -12.5 | 22% |
| Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| O/U 55.5 | 17% |
| Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| O/U 59.5 | 16% |
| Spread -17.5 | 15% |
| O/U 57.5 | 15% |
| Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| Spread -21.5 | 11% |
| O/U 61.5 | 11% |
| Spread -18.5 | 10% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
| O/U 63.5 | 9% |
| O/U 65.5 | 7% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 92% YES probability for Hawai'i vs. Wyoming. In the upcoming college football game between Hawai'i and Wyoming, scheduled for September 26 at 3:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Hawai'i" if Hawai'i win the game. This market will resolve to "…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $190K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Hawai'i vs. Wyoming. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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