Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 95% |
| Spread -3.5 | 93% |
| Spread -4.5 | 93% |
| Ole Miss O/U 23.5 | 91% |
| Spread -7.5 | 88% |
| Spread -1.5 | 87% |
| Spread -5.5 | 86% |
| Spread -6.5 | 86% |
| Spread -10.5 | 81% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 78% |
| Spread -13.5 | 74% |
| O/U 35.5 | 74% |
| Spread -8.5 | 70% |
| O/U 37.5 | 69% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 68% |
| O/U 39.5 | 62% |
| Ole Miss O/U 32.5 | 62% |
| Spread -16.5 | 61% |
| Spread -14.5 | 59% |
| Spread -17.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| O/U 43.5 | 52% |
| O/U 75.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| Missouri 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| Ole Miss O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Missouri O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Missouri O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Missouri O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Missouri O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Missouri O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Ole Miss O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 49% |
| Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 49% |
| Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 49% |
| O/U 41.5 | 48% |
| Spread -20.5 | 47% |
| O/U 45.5 | 45% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| O/U 49.5 | 36% |
| O/U 51.5 | 34% |
| O/U 55.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 30% |
| O/U 63.5 | 28% |
| O/U 67.5 | 28% |
| O/U 69.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| O/U 47.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| Missouri O/U 23.5 | 20% |
| Spread -1.5 | 13% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| O/U 53.5 | 12% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| O/U 57.5 | 7% |
| Spread -2.5 | 6% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss | 5% |
| Spread -5.5 | 5% |
| Spread -4.5 | 5% |
| O/U 59.5 | 4% |
| Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| Spread -3.5 | 3% |
| O/U 61.5 | 3% |
| O/U 65.5 | 3% |
| O/U 71.5 | 3% |
| Spread -13.5 | 2% |
| Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to missouri vs. ole miss. In the upcoming college football game between Missouri and Ole Miss, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Missouri" if Missouri win the game. This market will resolve to…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $199K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Missouri vs. Ole Miss. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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