Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 92% |
| O/U 41.5 | 83% |
| Missouri State O/U 20.5 | 78% |
| O/U 47.5 | 72% |
| Missouri State O/U 23.5 | 70% |
| Western Kentucky O/U 23.5 | 65% |
| O/U 51.5 | 62% |
| O/U 53.5 | 57% |
| Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky | 54% |
| Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 53% |
| 1H Moneyline | 53% |
| O/U 55.5 | 52% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| O/U 37.5 | 51% |
| O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| O/U 43.5 | 51% |
| O/U 45.5 | 51% |
| O/U 49.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| O/U 57.5 | 48% |
| Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 44% |
| Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| O/U 59.5 | 42% |
| Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| O/U 61.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Spread -5.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| O/U 65.5 | 29% |
| Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| O/U 71.5 | 18% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 15% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 92% YES probability for Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky. In the upcoming college football game between Missouri State and Western Kentucky, scheduled for October 8 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Missouri State" if Missouri State win the game. Th…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $273K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2216%2C18%2020%2C4%2024%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2224%2C18%2028%2C3%2032%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2232%2C18%2036%2C3%2040%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2240%2C18%2044%2C4%2048%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →