Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 99% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 99% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 99% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 99% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 99% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 99% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 99% |
| Oregon State O/U 23.5 | 99% |
| Spread -1.5 | 98% |
| Spread -2.5 | 98% |
| Spread -3.5 | 98% |
| Spread -4.5 | 98% |
| Spread -5.5 | 98% |
| Spread -6.5 | 98% |
| Spread -13.5 | 98% |
| O/U 35.5 | 98% |
| Spread -11.5 | 98% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 98% |
| Spread -7.5 | 97% |
| Spread -10.5 | 97% |
| Spread -9.5 | 97% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 97% |
| Spread -14.5 | 96% |
| Spread -17.5 | 96% |
| Spread -16.5 | 95% |
| O/U 43.5 | 94% |
| Spread -20.5 | 93% |
| O/U 37.5 | 93% |
| O/U 39.5 | 93% |
| O/U 41.5 | 93% |
| Spread -21.5 | 93% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 93% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 93% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 93% |
| O/U 45.5 | 92% |
| O/U 47.5 | 92% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 92% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 92% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 92% |
| O/U 49.5 | 90% |
| Spread -27.5 | 90% |
| Spread -24.5 | 88% |
| Spread -15.5 | 87% |
| O/U 51.5 | 86% |
| O/U 53.5 | 84% |
| Spread -30.5 | 84% |
| O/U 55.5 | 77% |
| Spread -19.5 | 75% |
| O/U 57.5 | 71% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 71% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 71% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| O/U 59.5 | 65% |
| Spread -34.5 | 65% |
| Spread -31.5 | 62% |
| O/U 61.5 | 61% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 59% |
| O/U 63.5 | 56% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 53% |
| Oregon State O/U 29.5 | 53% |
| Oregon State O/U 32.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| O/U 65.5 | 52% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 51% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Spread -12.5 | 51% |
| Spread -18.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Oregon State O/U 35.5 | 49% |
| San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 49% |
| San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| O/U 67.5 | 45% |
| Spread -28.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| O/U 69.5 | 39% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 37% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 31% |
| O/U 71.5 | 27% |
| O/U 73.5 | 26% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 26% |
| O/U 75.5 | 24% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| San Diego State O/U 20.5 | 19% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| San Diego State O/U 23.5 | 13% |
| San Diego State O/U 26.5 | 9% |
| Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| San Diego State vs. Oregon State | 1% |
| Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| Spread -5.5 | 1% |
| Spread -4.5 | 1% |
| Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| Spread -1.5 | 1% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of san diego state vs. oregon state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between San Diego State and Oregon State, scheduled for October 10 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego St…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $480K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for San Diego State vs. Oregon State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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