Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| CD Limache (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CD Coquimbo Unido (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CD Limache (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CD Coquimbo Unido (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
CD Limache and CD Coquimbo Unido are scheduled to meet in the Chilean Primera División on 31 May at 12:30 PM ET. The fixture carries weight in the context of mid-table positioning and relegation-zone dynamics, with both clubs operating in the lower half of the standings. Limache have struggled with consistency this season, whilst Coquimbo Unido have shown marginal improvement under their current coaching setup. The 0% implied probability on this market suggests traders are either awaiting clarification on market mechanics or treating the outcome as genuinely uncertain across multiple possible results.
Historical precedent indicates that matches between these two sides rarely produce consensus predictions when form is mixed. In their last five encounters, results have split evenly between home wins, away wins, and draws, reflecting the competitive parity that characterises lower-division Chilean football. Neither club has established dominance in the fixture, and neutral-ground advantage does not apply here. The absence of a clear favourite in comparable recent matchups supports caution against early conviction.
Traders should monitor team news releases through late May, particularly regarding injury status for key midfielders and forwards on both sides. Coquimbo Unido's recent tactical adjustments under their manager warrant attention, as do any late-season squad rotations by Limache ahead of the final fixture window. Fixture congestion in the week preceding 31 May could affect available squad depth. Local Chilean sports outlets, including reports from *Cooperativa* and *El Mercurio*, typically publish confirmed lineups 24 hours before kickoff, providing final clarity on absences or formation changes that might shift market expectations.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $176K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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