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Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

How the sports market is pricing "Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) 60% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) 57% Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) 55% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) 52% Volume: $60K Liquidity: $235K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
60% 40% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
60% 40% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)60%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)57%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)55%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)52%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.545%
O/U 2.5 Games38%
Map 1 Winner32%
Map 2 Winner23%
Match Winner19%

Market context

3DMAX meet MOUZ in a best-of-three quarter-final at the BLAST Bounty Playoffs, with the market’s 32% YES price sitting well below where recent head-to-head results would usually leave MOUZ. The last recorded meetings were both MOUZ wins, including a 2-0 in ESL Pro League Season 22 and an earlier 2-0 at the Perfect World Shanghai Major elimination stage, while another recent BLAST Bounty run saw MOUZ beat FOKUS in two maps to reach this stage.[3][7][10]

That history matters because it points to a fairly stable baseline: MOUZ have tended to close this match-up cleanly, whereas 3DMAX have generally needed long, scrappy series to swing momentum against stronger tier-one opposition.[3][4][9] For a market priced near one-third, the current number is usually read as a statement that 3DMAX are live only if the veto opens up, MOUZ arrive with a weakened line-up, or the event format creates unusual variance rather than because the pairing itself has recently been close.[3][4][9]

The main trader catalysts are roster and scheduling confirmations, especially any late change to the official line-up, stand-in use, or a revised start time that could affect preparation. BLAST’s own playoff listings and match pages have already shown this fixture as a quarter-final slot, so the key dependency is whether it starts on time and with both teams fielding the expected five; if there is a postponement, cancellation, or an unresolved forfeit path, the market’s special settlement rules become more relevant than the competitive form line.[2][10]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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