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Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

How the sports market is pricing "Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Map 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $103K Liquidity: $293K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-3.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+3.5)10%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs Butterfly (+3.5)10%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-6.5) vs Butterfly (+6.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.510%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: BTF (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)0%
Map Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-1.5) vs Butterfly (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-6.5) vs Butterfly (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-3.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-9.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of counter-strike: butterfly vs ex-rustec (bo3) - nodwin clutch series playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Butterfly and ex-RUSTEC in the NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 7:00AM ET. …

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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