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Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage

How the sports market is pricing "Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Map 2 Winner 64% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5) 50% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $59K Liquidity: $54K Closes: 4 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
64% 36% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
64% 36% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner64%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-6.5) vs NEW VISION (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-3.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-6.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-9.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+9.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Match Winner46%
O/U 2.5 Games38%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)27%
Map Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)25%
Map 1 Winner0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: ex-rustec vs new vision (bo3) - cct europe series #6 group stage stands at 64% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between ex-RUSTEC and NEW VISION in the CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 4 at 7:00AM ET. Thi…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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