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Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BESTIA (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs

Sports snapshot for "Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BESTIA (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Match Winner 99% Volume: $306K Liquidity: $383K Closes: 11 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BESTIA (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Match Winner99%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5)75%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-6.5) vs BESTIA (+6.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-9.5) vs BESTIA (+9.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.525%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.525%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-6.5) vs BESTIA (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-9.5) vs BESTIA (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: SHK (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5)0%
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-6.5) vs Sharks (+6.5)0%

Market context

Sharks and BESTIA face off in the RES Showdown South America semifinals on 10 July, with the Brazilian side holding a decisive historical edge over their Argentine rivals. Over 21 recorded CS2 encounters, Sharks have won 13 matches (62%) compared to BESTIA’s eight, including a 2-0 victory in their most recent CCT Season 3 meeting earlier this year [1][4]. This head-to-head dominance mirrors past regional playoff dynamics where historically superior teams with higher Tips.GG ratings (#39 for Sharks versus #62 for BESTIA) consistently overcome lower-ranked opponents in BO3 formats, even when the latter carry a short win streak [4].

Traders should monitor pre-match roster announcements and any delay notifications, as the market resolves to a 50-50 split if the match is cancelled or delayed beyond seven days without a winner [3][8]. Sharks’ current three-match win streak and 80% win rate over the past 30 days contrast with BESTIA’s single-game streak and 67% rate, suggesting form aligns with historical probability [4]. No coaching changes or key absences have been reported in recent beat coverage, but HLTV and Dust2.us confirm the match is scheduled for 23:00 UTC with no streams currently listed, meaning live updates may be sparse until play begins [5][6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BESTIA (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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