Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 97% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-6.5) vs The Huns Esports (+6.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-6.5) vs The Huns Esports (+6.5) | 8% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
Market context
TYLOO and The Huns Esports face off in the BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs semifinals, a match originally set for 10:00 PM ET on 10 July but now unresolved as the settlement window closes. Recent head-to-head data shows TYLOO dominating The Huns with a 2–0 victory in the CS Asia Championships 2026, winning both Mirage (13–10) and Nuke (13–11) before Inferno was abandoned [1]. That result propelled TYLOO into the Upper Bracket Final while The Huns dropped to the Lower Bracket, reflecting a clear form gap that aligns with the current 0% crowd-implied probability for The Huns winning this BO3.
Historically, when a team loses 0–2 in a BO3 qualifier against the same opponent within weeks, the likelihood of a reversal in a subsequent BO3 is negligible unless a key roster change occurs. In this case, TYLOO’s ranking improved from #107 to #99 with +23 points, while The Huns slipped from #81 to #84 with -19 points, reinforcing the momentum disparity [1]. No coaching changes or player absences have been reported for either side since that match, and both teams remain on their original rosters for this playoff encounter.
Traders should monitor HLTV and official BLAST announcements for any match cancellation or delay beyond seven days, which would trigger a 50–50 resolution [5][6]. The match status remains unconfirmed as of 9 AM UTC on 11 July, with no official start time posted for the rescheduled semifinal. If the match begins but is not completed, the market resolves based on the team that wins the most maps played, per standard CS2 playoff rules.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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