Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
51% | 49% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
51% | 49% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Ends in Daytime | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
BetBoom Team and ex-HEROIC are scheduled to compete in a best-of-one Dota 2 match at the BLAST Slam Group Stage on 26 May at 05:10 UTC. The fixture represents an early-stage elimination contest where both squads will be seeking momentum ahead of deeper tournament progression. BetBoom Team, a Russian-based organisation, has maintained competitive standing in regional and international qualifiers, whilst ex-HEROIC—the reformed roster following HEROIC's Dota 2 restructuring—brings experience from European competitive circuits. The 51% crowd probability suggests near-parity assessment, reflecting uncertainty about current squad cohesion and recent form.
Historical precedent from BLAST Slam tournaments shows that single-elimination group matches often hinge on preparation depth and coaching staff familiarity with opponents' recent patch adaptations. Teams entering group stages with fresh roster configurations, as ex-HEROIC's reformation suggests, typically face a 3–5 percentage-point disadvantage relative to established lineups in early rounds, according to competitive Dota 2 analysts tracking tournament outcomes. BetBoom Team's consistency in Russian qualifiers provides a baseline advantage if both teams are equally prepared.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute coaching announcements through 25 May, as BLAST Slam has historically permitted late substitutions. Patch updates released within 72 hours of match day can shift preparation advantage significantly. Schedule delays—common in international tournaments spanning multiple time zones—should trigger attention to the seven-day forfeiture clause embedded in settlement terms. Confirmation of final team lineups and any injury or availability notices from official BLAST channels will be critical inputs before the settlement window closes.
Methodology
We track Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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