Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 1? | 100% Enjoy | 0% Team Bald |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 10% Enjoy | 90% Team Bald |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 1% Over | 100% Under |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Enjoy | 0% Team Bald |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% Enjoy | 0% Team Bald |
Market context
Enjoy and Team Bald meet in the Europe Closed Qualifier playoffs in a best-of-three upper-bracket round-one series, with the market already pricing a near-certain result for Enjoy. That is notably at odds with the public form picture: Strafe lists Enjoy as having won only one of their last three matches, while Team Bald have taken two straight and are also unbeaten in their last two by that same tracker[1]. With no prior head-to-head between the sides, traders are leaning more on short-run momentum and bracket context than on direct matchup history[1].
Comparable qualifier spots can be volatile because small roster or scheduling changes often matter more than broader reputation. Polymarket’s own market notes describe Team Bald Reborn as a high-profile underdog after a dominant 9-1 run through the Europe open qualifiers, which shows how quickly qualifier form can reshape expectations even against a more established opponent[2]. That makes the current 100% crowd-implied YES especially sensitive to whether the listed line-up actually appears as expected, rather than to a generic favourite-longshot story[2].
The main catalysts are simple: confirmation that the BO3 starts on time, whether both squads field their intended line-ups, and any late bracket or schedule changes before the settlement window closes[3][4]. If the match is postponed beyond seven days, not played at all, or finishes without a winner, the rules shift away from a straight Enjoy/Team Bald outcome, so traders are watching for official tournament updates and any sign of withdrawal or walkover[3][4]. Strafe’s current listing also points to Team Bald carrying the stronger recent results heading in, which helps explain why a 100% YES price needs close monitoring for news rather than assuming the market is locked in[1].
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: Enjoy vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International… on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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