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Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

How the sports market is pricing "Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Any Player Ultra Kill 61% Any Player Rampage 56% Any Player Ultra Kill 55% Any Player Rampage 54% Volume: $77K Liquidity: $13K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
61% 39% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
61% 39% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Player Ultra Kill61%
Any Player Rampage56%
Any Player Ultra Kill55%
Any Player Rampage54%
Game 2 Winner52%
O/U 2.5 Games51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Any Player Rampage51%
Game 1 Winner50%
Match Winner50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan49%
Both Teams Beat Roshan49%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks49%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks48%
Any Player Ultra Kill48%
Ends in Daytime48%
Both Teams Beat Roshan47%
Game Handicap: ICxI (-1.5) vs Team Jenz (+1.5)45%

Market context

The Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A prediction market currently prices this outcome at 61% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Jenz and Inner Circle in the EPL Masters Play-In Group A, initially scheduled for July 23 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Jenz" if …

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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