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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

How the sports market is pricing "Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Any Player Ultra Kill 53% Ends in Daytime 52% Ends in Daytime 52% Ends in Daytime 52% Volume: $51K Liquidity: $341K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
53% 47% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
53% 47% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Player Ultra Kill53%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks52%
Any Player Rampage51%
First Blood in Game 1?46%
First Blood in Game 2?46%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)45%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?45%
O/U 2.5 Games44%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?42%
Both Teams Beat Roshan37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan37%
Game 2 Winner34%
Game 1 Winner33%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks28%
Any Player Ultra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks28%
Any Player Ultra Kill28%
Match Winner27%
Any Player Rampage26%
Any Player Rampage26%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 53% YES probability for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between LGD Gaming and Team Yandex in the The International Elimination Round, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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