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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

How the sports market is pricing "Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? 69% Both Teams Beat Roshan 60% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 58% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 57% Volume: $147K Liquidity: $792K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?69%
Both Teams Beat Roshan60%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?58%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?57%
Any Player Ultra Kill56%
Any Player Ultra Kill56%
Any Player Ultra Kill56%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks54%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks54%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks54%
Game 2 Winner53%
Match Winner53%
Game 1 Winner52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
O/U 2.5 Games51%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?44%
Both Teams Beat Roshan35%
Both Teams Beat Roshan35%
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)27%
Any Player Rampage21%
Any Player Rampage10%
Any Player Rampage8%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: team liquid vs team falcons (bo3) - the international playoffs stands at 69% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between Team Liquid and Team Falcons in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 1:00…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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