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Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

"Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Volume: $434K Liquidity: $305K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
First Blood in Game 2?10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2?10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of dota 2: og vs inner circle (bo2) - esports world cup group d. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between OG and Inner Circle in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 9 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "OG"…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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