Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% YES | 90% NO |
Market context
PARIVISION and BetBoom Team are scheduled to meet in a best-of-one Dota 2 fixture at the BLAST Slam Group Stage on 27 May at 9:50 AM ET. The match represents a significant test for both rosters within a competitive regional environment where recent form and roster stability have proven decisive. BetBoom Team enters with established infrastructure and consistent tournament appearances across Eastern European circuits, whilst PARIVISION's participation signals either a recent roster acquisition or qualifier success that warrants scrutiny regarding team cohesion and scrim results.
The 100% implied probability reflects either exceptionally lopsided historical matchup data or a technical settlement condition weighted towards one outcome. Comparable BLAST Slam fixtures have occasionally resolved to 50-50 splits when matches were postponed beyond the seven-day window or abandoned mid-game, suggesting traders should monitor the official BLAST schedule closely for any rescheduling announcements. Recent roster changes or coaching adjustments—particularly if either team announced line-up modifications within two weeks of the fixture—would materially shift expected performance levels.
Traders should track BLAST's official communications for match postponements, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause if delayed past 3 June. Verification of both teams' current five-player rosters and any last-minute stand-in announcements remains essential, as Dota 2 tournaments frequently accommodate player absences through substitutions. The settlement window closes at 19:30 UTC on 27 May, allowing approximately nine and a half hours post-scheduled start time for match completion and official result confirmation.
Methodology
We track Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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