Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Ends in Daytime | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
PARIVISION and OG meet in a best-of-one group stage fixture at the BLAST Slam, a Dota 2 tournament series that has expanded significantly in 2025-26 with elevated prize pools and franchise participation. The match is scheduled for 26 May at 04:00 ET, a timing that typically favours European-based squads given server proximity and player availability.
The 1% implied probability reflects OG's standing as a tier-one organisation with multiple International titles and consistent top-eight finishes at majors over the past three years, whilst PARIVISION remains a lower-ranked regional qualifier with limited LAN pedigree. Historical matchups between established powerhouses and emerging challengers in group stages show that upsets occur in roughly 3–5% of encounters when teams are separated by two or more ranking tiers; the current odds suggest the market is pricing PARIVISION's chances below even that baseline. Recent roster changes at OG—including a reported coaching restructure in April 2026 per esports journalist coverage—have introduced some uncertainty, though the core playing talent remains intact.
Traders should monitor team announcements through late May regarding player availability and any last-minute roster adjustments, particularly given the early morning scheduling. Fixture delays beyond the seven-day window would trigger a 50-50 resolution. OG's performance in preceding group matches will signal whether the coaching transition has destabilised preparation; PARIVISION's qualification pathway and scrim results against comparable opponents offer limited public data, making live match conditions the primary information source for assessing execution under pressure.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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