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Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

"Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Ends in Daytime 100% First Blood in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 100% Volume: $640K Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
First Blood in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: rekonix vs mouz (bo2) - esports world cup group c stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between REKONIX and MOUZ in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 8 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "REKONI…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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