Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Hull City AFC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Middlesbrough FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Hull City AFC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Middlesbrough FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Hull City and Middlesbrough will contest an EFL Championship fixture on 23 May at 10:30 AM ET, with settlement tied to additional market offerings beyond standard match outcomes. The 3% implied probability reflects either a narrow or highly conditional trigger for the "more markets" condition—likely dependent on match circumstances, injury developments, or late administrative changes that would expand the betting menu beyond typical win/draw/loss and goal-total offerings.
Historical precedent suggests that late-season Championship matches rarely generate expanded market availability unless tied to promotion or relegation implications, or unexpected squad disruptions. Comparable fixtures from prior seasons show that additional markets typically emerge when teams face critical personnel absences, managerial upheaval, or fixture congestion that creates genuine uncertainty about team selection. The current 3% reading implies traders assess a low probability of such conditions materialising by late May, when squads are typically settled and administrative calendars are fixed.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official EFL communications through the settlement window. Hull City's recent form and Middlesbrough's injury list—particularly any late withdrawals or emergency loan signings—could trigger market expansion. Press coverage from regional outlets covering both clubs will signal whether either side faces unexpected squad constraints. Fixture scheduling changes, though rare this late in the season, remain a potential catalyst. Any announcement of additional betting markets from sportprediction.bet itself would directly affect settlement conditions.
Methodology
This page reviews Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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