Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Austria (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Tunisia (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Austria (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Tunisia (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Austria will face Tunisia in a FIFA International Friendly on 1 June at 2:45 PM ET. The fixture sits outside competitive qualification windows, meaning squad selection will reflect club form and tactical experimentation rather than knockout-stage preparation. Austria, ranked 10th globally, has used recent friendlies to test formations ahead of potential Euro qualifiers, whilst Tunisia, positioned 34th, typically uses such matches to build rhythm before African Cup of Nations campaigns or qualification rounds.
The 0% implied probability suggests traders expect no additional markets to materialise beyond those already listed. Historical precedent shows that friendlies between nations of differing competitive stature—particularly when one is European and the other African—often receive limited market proliferation on prediction platforms. Comparable fixtures between Austria and lower-ranked opponents have generated sparse secondary betting options, with bookmakers concentrating liquidity on match outcome and goal-based markets rather than granular player or tactical props.
Traders should monitor squad announcements from both federations in the fortnight before kick-off, as injuries to key players could shift tactical approaches and trigger derivative market creation. Austria's recent Nations League performances and Tunisia's preparation schedule for upcoming African qualifiers will influence team selection depth. Any late coaching adjustments—Austria's manager Ralf Rangnick has been known to make tactical pivots in friendly settings—could prompt bookmakers to launch additional markets if significant lineup changes emerge. Confirmation of venue and final fixture details from UEFA or the Austrian Football Association should be tracked through official channels.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $595K.
Methodology
We track Austria vs. Tunisia - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Austria vs. Tunisia - More Markets on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Sport Prediction →