Switzerland vs. Jordan - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Switzerland and Jordan meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 31 May at 9:00 AM ET, with the market currently pricing the likelihood of additional markets being offered at certainty. The fixture falls within a congested international calendar window, typically used by federations to test squad depth and tactical approaches ahead of competitive tournaments or qualifiers. Switzerland, ranked 19th globally, will field a squad drawn largely from top European leagues; Jordan, ranked 95th, competes primarily in the AFC Asian Cup qualifying pathway and domestic Gulf competition.

Historical precedent suggests that friendlies between nations of markedly different competitive standing—particularly those involving UEFA members against AFC sides outside the continental elite—consistently generate secondary market interest. Comparable fixtures between established European sides and lower-ranked Asian opponents have routinely spawned derivative markets on goal-scorer, corner counts, and card accumulation. The 100% probability reflects trader confidence that the fixture's visibility and the commercial incentives of both federations will justify expanded betting options beyond the standard match result.

Catalysts affecting settlement include confirmation of squad lists, which typically emerge 7–10 days before kick-off, and any late withdrawals due to club fixture congestion or injury. Swiss media outlets including SRF have historically reported squad announcements with detail on player availability. Venue confirmation and weather conditions in the host nation will also influence market depth, as will any scheduling changes to the 9:00 AM ET start time. The settlement window closes at 13:00 UTC on 31 May, allowing only a narrow window for market activation once play concludes.

Methodology

We track Switzerland vs. Jordan - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?

Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.