Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Total Corners: O/U 13.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Austria Corners: O/U 5.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Austria and Jordan meet in a FIFA World Cup fixture on 17 June 2026, with the corners market currently showing zero implied probability for the YES outcome. This suggests traders expect either a very low corner count or significant uncertainty about the settlement criteria itself.
Austria's recent qualifying campaigns have typically generated 6–8 corners per match, though their defensive shape under current management has tightened considerably. Jordan, competing in the AFC qualifiers, averaged 4–5 corners across their group stage run, reflecting a more cautious approach and limited possession dominance. Historical World Cup matchups between established European sides and Asian qualifiers show corner totals clustering between 8 and 14, depending heavily on whether the underdog sits deep or attempts to press. The current 0% probability suggests either the market has priced in an unusually defensive setup or there is ambiguity around the specific corner threshold being wagered.
Key variables to monitor include team news releases in the fortnight before the match—any significant injury to Austria's midfield could reduce their attacking tempo and corner generation. Jordan's recent form reports, particularly from AFC sources covering their final warm-up fixtures, will indicate whether they plan a counter-attacking or possession-based strategy. Weather conditions at the venue on match day, typically published 5–7 days prior, can affect both teams' willingness to cross from wide areas. The settlement window closes at 04:00 UTC on 17 June, leaving minimal time for post-match clarification if the corner count falls near any threshold boundary.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $198K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Austria vs. Jordan - Total Corners on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Sport Prediction →