Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
47% | 53% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
47% | 53% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) | 47% Bosnia and Herzegovina | 54% Qatar |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) | 26% Bosnia and Herzegovina | 75% Qatar |
| Both Teams to Score | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| Qatar (-1.5) | 4% Qatar | 96% Bosnia and Herzegovina |
| Qatar (-2.5) | 1% Qatar | 99% Bosnia and Herzegovina |
| O/U 1.5 | 82% Over | 19% Under |
Market context
The underlying real-world event is the FIFA World Cup Group B match between Bosnia and Herzegovina and Qatar, scheduled for 3:00 PM ET on 24 June at Lumen Field in Seattle. This game determines which team secures the third spot in the group to advance to the Round of 32, where they are projected to face the USA with a 99.92% likelihood[2].
Historically, comparable cases in this group show that when teams enter with identical records of one draw and one loss, the side with superior recent scoring form often edges the probability above 45%. In the three prior encounters between these nations, Qatar has outscored Bosnia 3–1 without a single win for Bosnia, suggesting the 46% YES probability for “more markets” reflects a cautious market view that acknowledges Qatar’s scoring dominance while hedging against Bosnia’s potential to force extra markets through defensive resilience[2].
Traders should watch the final squad announcements for key absences, particularly Bosnia’s midfield stability and Qatar’s attacking line, as any late injury could shift the market toward fewer total markets. The match broadcast on FOX and streaming on FOX One will provide real-time tactical shifts, and the pre-match odds of -140 for Bosnia versus +650 for Qatar indicate a heavy expectation of a low-scoring, controlled contest that may limit market volatility[3][4].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $321K.
Methodology
This page reviews Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar - More Markets on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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