Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland | 30% YES | 71% NO |
| Haiti 1 - 0 Scotland | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland | 23% YES | 77% NO |
| Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland | 16% YES | 84% NO |
| Haiti 2 - 0 Scotland | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Haiti and Scotland meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage on 13 June at 9:00 PM ET. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Any outcome not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score," which currently carries the entire 100% implied probability, suggesting no single scoreline is favoured by traders.
Haiti qualified for the 2026 tournament via CONCACAF, their first World Cup appearance since 1974. Scotland secured their spot through UEFA qualifying but finished second in their group behind Spain, indicating mid-tier competitive standing within European football. Historical precedent for exact-score markets in World Cup fixtures shows that when two teams have significant quality gaps—Haiti ranked 87th globally versus Scotland at 37th—the distribution of outcomes typically clusters around low-scoring results (0–0, 1–0, 1–1) rather than spreads across higher scorelines. The 0% probability on any single outcome reflects the genuine difficulty of predicting exact scores in football rather than an absence of likely results.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates through May 2026, particularly regarding Scotland's attacking options and Haiti's defensive stability. Recent competitive form matters considerably: Scotland's performance in their final warm-up fixtures and Haiti's Copa América participation (if applicable) will signal tactical readiness. Fixture congestion in the days before the match could affect team selection and intensity, whilst any late managerial changes would signal strategic shifts worth tracking before settlement closes on 14 June at 01:00 UTC.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $783K.
Methodology
This page reviews Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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