Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
1% | 99% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
1% | 99% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Haiti (-2.5) | 1% Haiti | 99% Morocco |
| O/U 3.5 | 40% Over | 61% Under |
| Haiti (-1.5) | 1% Haiti | 99% Morocco |
| O/U 1.5 | 84% Over | 17% Under |
| O/U 5.5 | 11% Over | 89% Under |
| Morocco (-1.5) | 63% Morocco | 38% Haiti |
Market context
The underlying event is the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group C match between Morocco and Haiti, scheduled for 6:00 PM ET on 24 June at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Morocco, sitting with four points and a 1-1-0 record, faces Haiti, who have lost both prior matches with zero points. The crowd-implied 1% probability for a Haiti win reflects their stark historical disadvantage against elite African sides in World Cup play, where no Caribbean nation has ever defeated a top-tier African team in the tournament. Comparable cases include Brazil’s 3-0 victory over Haiti in the same group earlier this week [5], and Morocco’s consistent defensive resilience, having not trailed at half-time since their last defeat [2].
Traders should monitor final lineups for Morocco’s key absences, particularly any rotation in their midfield or attacking wings, which drive their wide-play dominance [1]. Haiti’s coach may announce a tactical shift to a deeper block, though their recent form shows they were kept scoreless in four of their last five losses [2]. Sky Sports notes Morocco’s -550 odds and -2.5 spread, underscoring their overwhelming advantage [6]. The settlement window closes at 22:00 UTC on 24 June, so any late injury news or lineup changes before kick-off will be critical. No moralising is needed; the data points decisively toward a Moroccan masterclass driven by superior technical quality and a watertight defensive structure [1].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $569K.
Methodology
This page reviews Morocco vs. Haiti - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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