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Mexico vs. Ecuador - Player Props

"Mexico vs. Ecuador - Player Props" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots 100% Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots 100% Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals + assists 100% Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals 100% Volume: $192K Liquidity: $835 Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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Mexico vs. Ecuador - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots100%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots100%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals + assists100%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals100%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals100%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ assists100%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots on target100%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots on target100%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals + assists100%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals + assists100%
Jordy Caicedo: 1+ shots53%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots52%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ shots52%
Kevin Rodríguez: 1+ shots51%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots51%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots50%
Kevin Rodríguez: 2+ shots50%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots on target50%
Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ shots on target50%
Brian Gutiérrez: 2+ shots on target50%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots on target50%
Kevin Rodríguez: 1+ shots on target50%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots on target50%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots on target50%
Enner Valencia: 1+ shots on target50%
Jordy Caicedo: 1+ shots on target50%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ shots on target50%
Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ shots49%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots49%
Brian Gutiérrez: 4+ shots49%
Brian Gutiérrez: 5+ shots49%
Jordy Caicedo: 2+ shots49%
Raúl Jiménez: 5+ shots49%
Enner Valencia: 1+ shots48%
Brian Gutiérrez: 2+ shots27%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots on target10%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots on target10%
Santiago Giménez: 4+ shots on target10%
César Huerta: 1+ shots0%
César Huerta: 2+ shots0%
Guillermo Martínez: 1+ shots0%
Guillermo Martínez: 2+ shots0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 1+ shots0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 2+ shots0%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots0%
Alexis Vega: 1+ assists0%
Alexis Vega: 2+ assists0%
Armando González: 1+ assists0%
Armando González: 2+ assists0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ assists0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 2+ assists0%
César Huerta: 1+ assists0%
César Huerta: 2+ assists0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 3+ goals0%
Armando González: 2+ shots0%
Alexis Vega: 1+ goals + assists0%
Alexis Vega: 2+ goals + assists0%
Alexis Vega: 3+ goals + assists0%
Alexis Vega: 4+ goals + assists0%
Armando González: 1+ goals + assists0%
Armando González: 2+ goals + assists0%
Armando González: 3+ goals + assists0%
Armando González: 4+ goals + assists0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ goals + assists0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 2+ goals + assists0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 3+ goals + assists0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 4+ goals + assists0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 1+ goals + assists0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 2+ goals + assists0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 3+ goals + assists0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 4+ goals + assists0%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals + assists0%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals + assists0%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ goals + assists0%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ goals + assists0%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ goals + assists0%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ goals + assists0%
Santiago Giménez: 4+ goals + assists0%
Enner Valencia: 3+ goals0%
Armando González: 1+ shots0%
Alexis Vega: 3+ goals0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 3+ goals0%
Alexis Vega: 1+ goals0%
Alexis Vega: 2+ goals0%
Armando González: 1+ goals0%
Armando González: 2+ goals0%
Armando González: 3+ goals0%
Enner Valencia: 1+ goals0%
Enner Valencia: 2+ goals0%
Guillermo Martínez: 1+ goals0%
Guillermo Martínez: 2+ goals0%
Guillermo Martínez: 3+ goals0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 1+ goals0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 2+ goals0%
Jordy Caicedo: 1+ goals0%
Jordy Caicedo: 2+ goals0%
Jordy Caicedo: 3+ goals0%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals0%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 1+ goals0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 2+ goals0%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals0%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals0%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ goals0%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ goals0%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ goals0%
Carlos Acevedo: 2+ saves0%
Carlos Acevedo: 3+ saves0%
Carlos Acevedo: 4+ saves0%
Carlos Acevedo: 5+ saves0%
Moisés Ramírez: 2+ saves0%
Moisés Ramírez: 3+ saves0%
Moisés Ramírez: 4+ saves0%
Moisés Ramírez: 5+ saves0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ goals0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 2+ goals0%
César Huerta: 1+ goals0%
César Huerta: 2+ goals0%
Alexis Vega: 1+ shots0%
Alexis Vega: 2+ shots0%
Jordy Caicedo: 3+ shots on target0%
Guillermo Martínez: 1+ assists0%
Guillermo Martínez: 2+ assists0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 1+ assists0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 2+ assists0%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ assists0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 1+ assists0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 2+ assists0%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assists0%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ assists0%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ assists0%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ assists0%
Alexis Vega: 1+ shots on target0%
Alexis Vega: 2+ shots on target0%
Armando González: 1+ shots on target0%
Armando González: 2+ shots on target0%
Armando González: 3+ shots on target0%
César Huerta: 1+ shots on target0%
César Huerta: 2+ shots on target0%
Guillermo Martínez: 1+ shots on target0%
Guillermo Martínez: 2+ shots on target0%
Guillermo Martínez: 3+ shots on target0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 1+ shots on target0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 2+ shots on target0%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots on target0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 2+ shots on target0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 3+ shots on target0%
César Huerta: 1+ goals + assists0%
César Huerta: 2+ goals + assists0%
César Huerta: 3+ goals + assists0%
César Huerta: 4+ goals + assists0%
Guillermo Martínez: 1+ goals + assists0%
Guillermo Martínez: 2+ goals + assists0%
Guillermo Martínez: 3+ goals + assists0%
Guillermo Martínez: 4+ goals + assists0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 1+ goals + assists0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 2+ goals + assists0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 3+ goals + assists0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 4+ goals + assists0%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals + assists0%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ goals + assists0%
Alexis Vega: 3+ shots0%
Alexis Vega: 4+ shots0%
Alexis Vega: 5+ shots0%
Armando González: 3+ shots0%
Armando González: 4+ shots0%
Armando González: 5+ shots0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 3+ shots0%
Enner Valencia: 2+ shots0%
Enner Valencia: 3+ shots0%
Enner Valencia: 4+ shots0%
Enner Valencia: 5+ shots0%
Guillermo Martínez: 3+ shots0%
Guillermo Martínez: 4+ shots0%
Guillermo Martínez: 5+ shots0%
Jordy Caicedo: 3+ shots0%
Jordy Caicedo: 4+ shots0%
Jordy Caicedo: 5+ shots0%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots0%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ shots0%
Julián Quiñones: 5+ shots0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 3+ shots0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 4+ shots0%
Kevin Rodríguez: 5+ shots0%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots0%
Santiago Giménez: 4+ shots0%
Santiago Giménez: 5+ shots0%
Enner Valencia: 1+ assists0%
Enner Valencia: 2+ assists0%
Jordy Caicedo: 1+ assists0%
Alexis Vega: 3+ shots on target0%
Brian Gutiérrez: 3+ shots on target0%
Enner Valencia: 2+ shots on target0%
Enner Valencia: 3+ shots on target0%
Enner Valencia: 4+ shots on target0%
Jordy Caicedo: 2+ shots on target0%
Jordy Caicedo: 2+ assists0%
Enner Valencia: 1+ goals + assists0%
Enner Valencia: 2+ goals + assists0%
Enner Valencia: 3+ goals + assists0%
Enner Valencia: 4+ goals + assists0%
Jordy Caicedo: 1+ goals + assists0%
Jordy Caicedo: 2+ goals + assists0%
Jordy Caicedo: 3+ goals + assists0%
Jordy Caicedo: 4+ goals + assists0%
César Huerta: 3+ shots0%
César Huerta: 4+ shots0%
César Huerta: 5+ shots0%
César Huerta: 3+ shots on target0%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ shots on target0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 3+ shots on target0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 3+ shots0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 4+ shots0%
Jeremy Arévalo: 5+ shots0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of mexico vs. ecuador - player props. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Mexico vs. Ecuador - Player Props. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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