Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
31% | 69% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
31% | 69% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Netherlands (-1.5) | 31% Netherlands | 70% Sweden |
| Netherlands (-2.5) | 14% Netherlands | 86% Sweden |
| O/U 0.5 | 95% Over | 6% Under |
| O/U 2.5 | 56% Over | 44% Under |
| O/U 4.5 | 17% Over | 84% Under |
| Both Teams to Score | 56% YES | 44% NO |
Market context
The Netherlands meet Sweden in Houston with a place in the next stage still on the line, and the current **31% YES** on “more markets” sits below the market view for a straightforward, high-variance World Cup tie. That is consistent with a fixture that has usually been tight rather than chaotic: the Netherlands are listed as favourites in match odds, but the total has also been shaded towards a lower-scoring game, which can reduce the number of obvious derivative markets that settle with clear edge. The historical frame is mixed but instructive. The Netherlands have the stronger overall head-to-head record and beat Sweden 2-0 in their most recent meeting in October 2017, while broader preview data says the Dutch have won four of the last seven encounters, losing one.[2][7][10]
For traders, the main catalysts are late team news and any tactical confirmation before kick-off. Match coverage lists the game for 20 June at 17:00 UTC, with ESPN showing the Netherlands at 0-1-0 and Sweden at 1-0-0 in group play, so small shifts in advancement pressure can affect whether additional markets are posted and how they are priced.[2][5] The most relevant swing factors are starting line-ups, especially any absence in the Dutch attack or midfield, because The Athletic’s match page shows the Netherlands have been averaging 2.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game, with no clean sheets so far.[8] Reuters-style beat reporting has not surfaced in the provided results, so the best live read will come from federation team sheets, pre-match pressers, and odds updates in the final hours before settlement.[1][3][5]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $326K.
Methodology
This page reviews Netherlands vs. Sweden - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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