Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Netherlands Corners: O/U 5.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Team to Take First Corner | 0% Netherlands | 100% Sweden |
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Netherlands and Sweden meet at the World Cup in a game where the corner count is being read off live match control rather than reputation alone. The crowd is currently pricing **0% YES**, which implies the market is treating an 11-corner outcome as very unlikely despite both sides being established possession teams and the fixture already having a live tempo in progress.[1][6]
For a corners market, the closest historical guide is not headline scoreline but game state: sustained Dutch pressure, Sweden conceding territory, and repeated wide attacks tend to lift corner volume, while an early lead for either side often suppresses it. That makes this price sensitive to whether the match develops into a stretched, end-to-end contest or settles into slower circulation and fewer blocked crosses. The Athletic’s live coverage has already described the game as active enough to produce a decisive moment, which matters because early momentum often shapes corner totals more than pre-match modelling does.[3][6]
Traders should watch for any tactical or squad developments that alter wide-delivery volume: full-backs pushed high, changes to winger selection, or a switch to more direct play can all move corners quickly. Also relevant are late team-news confirmations, because this market resolves on corners taken in match time and remains open if the fixture is postponed, so schedule changes or official adjustments would matter.[1][4] Recent live commentary and score updates suggest the match is being tracked closely in real time, making in-play shape and pressure the main catalysts from here.[3][6]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $368K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Netherlands vs. Sweden - Total Corners on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Sport Prediction →