Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| New Zealand | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Egypt | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
New Zealand against Egypt in the FIFA World Cup has already produced a first-half lead for New Zealand, so a **100% YES** crowd price on a halftime result market is only readable as a completed-settlement line, not a live contest on the interval itself.[6][4] For comparable framing, New Zealand entered the match with a goal of staying compact against a more established opponent, while Egypt’s profile in recent tournament football has often been built around patience and second-half pressure rather than fast starts; that makes a clean first-half result more dependent on game state than on name value alone.[2][5]
For traders, the main catalysts were pre-match line-ups, any late injury or rotation news, and whether either side altered shape after the opening exchanges, because those factors tend to matter more in a half-time market than broader season-long form.[6] FIFA’s match centre lists the official kick-off details and line-ups, while live reporting showed New Zealand in control before the interval and a Reddit match thread described Egypt as “god awful” in the final third, which is consistent with a first-half outcome that can diverge sharply from final score narratives.[6][1] Fox Sports also had Egypt favoured to win pre-match and a low total set around 2.5 goals, underlining that the market was already expecting a relatively tight scoring game rather than an open first half.[3]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $516K.
Methodology
We track New Zealand vs. Egypt - Halftime Result on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade New Zealand vs. Egypt - Halftime Result on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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