Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
35% | 65% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
35% | 65% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 35% Over | 65% Under |
| Portugal Corners: O/U 5.5 | 57% Over | 43% Under |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 1% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 60% Over | 41% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 10% Over | 90% Under |
| Team to Take First Corner | 39% Portugal | 61% DR Congo |
Market context
Portugal and DR Congo meet in a World Cup group stage fixture on 17 June 2026. The market is pricing the probability of exceeding a specific corner threshold at 35%, suggesting traders expect a relatively low-corner affair. Portugal's recent qualifying campaign under Roberto Martínez has emphasised possession-based football with measured build-up play; their March 2026 friendlies against Poland and Croatia yielded 6 and 5 corners respectively, indicating a baseline of 5–7 corners per match when controlling tempo. DR Congo, by contrast, qualified through African preliminaries with a more direct, counter-attacking approach under Sébastien Desabre, typically generating 4–6 corners in competitive fixtures.
Historical World Cup group-stage matches between established European sides and African qualifiers show corner totals clustering between 8 and 12 when the European team dominates possession, though this varies sharply with referee tolerance and defensive discipline. Portugal's 2022 World Cup matches averaged 9.2 corners; DR Congo's recent competitive outings in qualifying averaged 5.8. The 35% probability implies the market expects fewer than 9 corners, a threshold consistent with Portugal controlling the match without excessive attacking width or DR Congo mounting sustained pressure.
Traders should monitor team news through early June, particularly any late injuries to Portugal's wing-backs—Nélson Semedo or Diogo Dalot—whose presence directly correlates with wider attacking patterns. Confirmation of Desabre's final squad composition and any tactical adjustments announced ahead of the tournament will clarify DR Congo's defensive setup. Pitch conditions in the host nation and referee assignment, typically released 48 hours before kick-off, historically influence corner frequency by 1–2 per side.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $445K.
Methodology
This page reviews Portugal vs. DR Congo - Total Corners across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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