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Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca

How the sports market is pricing "Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Completed Match 100% Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 3 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $171K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set Handicap +/-2.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca0%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 1 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Match O/U 36.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Total Sets: O/U 4.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 3 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Match O/U 40.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 3 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 3 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Total Sets: O/U 3.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Set 2 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Match O/U 38.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to wimbledon atp: roberto bautista agut vs joao fonseca. This market refers to the tennis match between Roberto Bautista Agut and Joao Fonseca in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roberto B…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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Related Topics

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